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Polymarket wallet 0x4559fb952959e8d405ab05ffd74b53cacb1f42eb · on Polymarket since Aug 21, 2026 · also shown as Major-Hectare-Aftermath
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 48¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$7 +108% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Lula participates in debate before first round?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64d | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? | BuyYes48¢ | $6 |
| 64d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BuyYes25¢ | $5 |
| 64d | Lula participates in debate before first round? | BuyYes55¢ | $10 |
| 64d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BuyUp57¢ | $5 |
| 64d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BuyDown36¢ | $5 |
| 64d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SellUp64¢ | $5 |
| 64d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BuyUp60¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.