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Polymarket wallet 0x45643951e09b8844c790a09c9c5c0c922c69e1b4 · on Polymarket since Sep 27, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 95 | 53¢ → 100¢ | $95 | +$45 +90% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 208 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 101 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 238 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 205 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 73 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyNo53¢ | $50 |
| 201d | ChatGPT Outage by April 17? | BuyNo49¢ | $50 |
| 201d | ChatGPT Outage by April 10? | BuyNo68¢ | $50 |
| 242d | Will BC.Game make a roster move before May? | BuyNo24¢ | $50 |
| 257d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo79¢ | $80 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BuyNo55¢ | $29 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyNo45¢ | $50 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo21¢ | $50 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyNo43¢ | $50 |
| 283d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo24¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.