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Polymarket wallet 0x457a0f2950953a5b8dab6a6e4b4dc7f36a6198ff · on Polymarket since Jul 22, 2024 · also shown as Honest-Underwire
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.4% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 226 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 505d | Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday? | BuyNo94¢ | $10 |
| 513d | US recession in 2025? | BuyYes38¢ | $30 |
| 513d | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 591d | Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month? | SellNo<1¢ | $0 |
| 605d | Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days? | BuyNo98¢ | $300 |
| 615d | Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month? | BuyNo8¢ | $10 |
| 615d | Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March? | BuyNo85¢ | $50 |
| 615d | Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | BuyYes74¢ | $100 |
| 615d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
| 616d | Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025? | BuyYes32¢ | $10 |
| 616d | Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days? | BuyNo49¢ | $10 |
| 616d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ | $10 |
| 616d | Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | BuyYes70¢ | $10 |
| 616d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.