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Polymarket wallet 0x464f98b6952e822dac46d32c6d050408cb35a4db · on Polymarket since Nov 21, 2025 · also shown as Colossal-Ski
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +104% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Meta reach $650 in Nov 25-28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA reach $200 in Nov 25-28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 332d | Will NVIDIA reach $200 in Nov 25-28? | BuyYes96¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November? | BuyYes99¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Will Meta reach $650 in Nov 25-28? | BuyYes96¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes34¢ | $1 |
| 332d | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026?? | BuyYes42¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BuyYes49¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BuyYes83¢ | $1 |
| 332d | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.