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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 648 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$251 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 452 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.