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Polymarket wallet 0x4712abcce60b5685b1bf98e6011a83002216794c · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,244 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$996 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 178 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$198 −100% |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,420 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$294 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.