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Polymarket wallet 0x489064a93fa12a7042bbc8b83d774810c454ffe3 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2025 · also shown as Thrifty-Ultimatum
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 408 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$350 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on March 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 107 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,442 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$178 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on March 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 439 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$350 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on March 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 272 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,174 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on March 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 117 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.