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Polymarket wallet 0x492ab86ef4dad0945b2356743d3c4b99e398f584 · on Polymarket since Jul 9, 2025 · also shown as Bold-Fiddle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 375 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Yoon arrested by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 207 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 168 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 175 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 469d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | SellYes5¢ | $12 |
| 469d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BuyYes10¢ | $17 |
| 470d | Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August? | SellYes5¢ | $17 |
| 471d | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 471d | Yoon arrested by July 15? | BuyNo5¢ | $10 |
| 471d | Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August? | BuyYes3¢ | $10 |
| 471d | Will Trump release more Epstein files before August? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 471d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 471d | Ethereum Up or Down on July 9? | BuyDown4¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.