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Polymarket wallet 0x494473e9bb4aae81fa254bf08ef519b0edf3ae9a · on Polymarket since Nov 16, 2025 · also shown as Careful-Stag
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,732 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,366 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5,431 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,716 −100% |
| NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Golden State WarriorsSettled - ready to redeem | LA Lakers | 6 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 491 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$246 −100% |
| Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 8 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 473 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$237 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 305 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$153 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95d | NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors | BuyLA Lakers52¢ | $3 |
| 104d | Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5 | BuyOver50¢ | $3 |
| 104d | Sinner vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5 | BuyOver50¢ | $1 |
| 338d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2,716 |
| 339d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,366 |
| 339d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 3PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $201 |
| 339d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 2PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $153 |
| 339d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $968 |
| 339d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $189 |
| 339d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $237 |
| 339d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $246 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.