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Polymarket wallet 0x495cd0b5b6795ee1f7d9ec53c78c486a0f5e0b9f · on Polymarket since Oct 4, 2023 · also shown as Calm-Spokeswoman
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finnish Presidential Election: Will Alexander Stubb win?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 143 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,564 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$282 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,206 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 381 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,692 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 526 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 491d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes11¢ | $282 |
| 493d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $22 |
| 857d | Is $DJT real? | SellYes22¢ | $22 |
| 857d | Is $DJT real? | BuyYes20¢ | $20 |
| 961d | Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | BuyYes7¢ | $28 |
| 1000d | Finnish Presidential Election: Will Alexander Stubb win? | BuyNo14¢ | $20 |
| 1000d | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.