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Polymarket wallet 0x49bd2c2760dc41bfb3b6424dd74b64ff4b41da22 · on Polymarket since Jun 27, 2025 · also shown as Adorable-Pension
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,134 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 64,210 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$755 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40,224 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$282 −100% |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 362 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,988 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$692 −100% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,823 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$566 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.