Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0x49f0fe0b6ec3de5fb6e66d0aabeaccf7d89bcedc · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026 · also shown as Watchful-Orchard
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 263 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 192 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 135 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 306 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 94 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 647 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | BuyYes17¢ | $45 |
| 247d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | SellYes4¢ | $21 |
| 247d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? | SellYes3¢ | $18 |
| 247d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)? | SellYes1¢ | $5 |
| 248d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 248d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes4¢ | $20 |
| 248d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 278d | Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31? | BuyYes16¢ | $15 |
| 278d | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 278d | US forces enter Iran by January 31? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 278d | Iran Strike on Israel by January 31? | BuyYes15¢ | $20 |
| 278d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes12¢ | $15 |
| 278d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $15 |
| 278d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes5¢ | $15 |
| 278d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.