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Polymarket wallet 0x4a96e39825d8a8ba8b82b6379792fde828f4d9c0 · on Polymarket since Oct 15, 2026 · also shown as Vibrant-Demur-Summer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 133 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $22 | +$2 +10% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 16d | Yes | 14 | 69¢ → 60¢ | $9 | −$1 −14% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 17 | 29¢ → 45¢ | $8 | +$3 +53% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 10 | 73¢ → 56¢ | $5 | −$2 −24% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 350 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 227 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 8d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BuyYes73¢ | $7 |
| 8d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BuyNo15¢ | $10 |
| 8d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BuyNo15¢ | $10 |
| 8d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BuyNo29¢ | $5 |
| 8d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | BuyNo6¢ | $10 |
| 8d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BuyYes69¢ | $10 |
| 8d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | BuyNo9¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.