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Polymarket wallet 0x4b687d9c959d93d08324246a8aab5ba977491c36 · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Brilliant-Woman
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +22% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Japan leading at halftime?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BuyDown82¢ | $1 |
| 52d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BuyDown94¢ | $1 |
| 57d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BuyUp98¢ | $1 |
| 116d | Japan leading at halftime? | BuyNo84¢ | $1 |
| 146d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BuyNo51¢ | $1 |
| 208d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2 |
| 237d | Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026? | SellNo99¢ | $15 |
| 237d | Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $16 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.