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Polymarket wallet 0x4bd5326373edca13445c819b34c253e26b17b86d · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2026 · also shown as Bony-Representative
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be less than 2,300,000?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 68¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +47% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.4% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.4% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 277d | Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 277d | Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election? | BuyYes68¢ | $3 |
| 277d | Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be less than 2,300,000? | BuyYes93¢ | $5 |
| 279d | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BuyYes46¢ | $2 |
| 282d | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | SellNo98¢ | $1 |
| 284d | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? | BuyYes92¢ | $2 |
| 284d | Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | BuyYes94¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026? | BuyYes23¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? | BuyYes37¢ | $2 |
| 285d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes97¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.