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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 272 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $272 | +$22 +8.9% |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 36 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $36 | +$1 +2.9% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $250 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo53¢ | $126 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes51¢ | $127 |
| 250d | Trump out as President by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ | $35 |
| 250d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo13¢ | $16 |
| 250d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo13¢ | $17 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.