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Polymarket wallet 0x4bf1f86a006288c3492b65bd8544be82145b8605 · on Polymarket since Aug 16, 2024 · also shown as Scarce-Sorrow
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 226 | 44¢ → 100¢ | $226 | +$126 +126% |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 36¢ → 100¢ | $69 | +$44 +178% |
| Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,250 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Couch" during Friday speech?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 797d | Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 798d | Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state? | BuyYes36¢ | $25 |
| 798d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes44¢ | $100 |
| 798d | Will Kamala Harris say "Couch" during Friday speech? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.