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Polymarket wallet 0x4c0e87882d4c9a1c7beb5eea50d5465284437b65 · on Polymarket since Jul 11, 2025 · also shown as Sane-Reactant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Syria strikes Israel by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 355 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $116K on July 13 at 5PM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US forces in Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 398d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | SellYes2¢ | $10 |
| 398d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | BuyYes3¢ | $12 |
| 456d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 463d | US forces in Iran before August? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 463d | Syria strikes Israel by Friday? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 467d | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $116K on July 13 at 5PM ET? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 467d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 467d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes5¢ | $2 |
| 467d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.