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Polymarket wallet 0x4c20e5baada51e8782e9fd8b833d405c0cf7b4ec · on Polymarket since Oct 16, 2025 · also shown as Arid-Ultimatum
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 610 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$305 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 8PM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $5 |
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 8PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $245 |
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 7PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $305 |
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $279 |
| 373d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET | SellDown50¢ | $5,105 |
| 373d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2,600 |
| 373d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $2,505 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.