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Polymarket wallet 0x4c2b2ada16d91db5b2042519ae4bf2db01c348e5 · on Polymarket since Nov 25, 2025 · also shown as Sentimental-Capability
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,921 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,461 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,877 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,439 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 642 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$321 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 592 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$296 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $9 |
| 83d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 86d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 89d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 92d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 98d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 101d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 104d | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | BuyChicago Cubs42¢ | $2 |
| 107d | Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $626 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $835 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $321 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $273 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $261 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,439 |
| 332d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $296 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.