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Polymarket wallet 0x4c5d457044ba461349c8280c77f24ad41ae18d58 · on Polymarket since Aug 29, 2025 · also shown as Notable-Swamp
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 21 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 21 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,210 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,116 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 866 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 827 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Lululemon (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 322 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 253d | Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $20 |
| 253d | Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ | $20 |
| 294d | Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo3¢ | $20 |
| 316d | Will Lululemon (LULU) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo6¢ | $20 |
| 317d | Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo12¢ | $100 |
| 318d | Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo12¢ | $100 |
| 318d | Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo9¢ | $100 |
| 364d | Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $100 |
| 364d | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? | BuyYes78¢ | $100 |
| 377d | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo24¢ | $100 |
| 377d | Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | BuyYes88¢ | $100 |
| 417d | Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31? | SellNo68¢ | $231 |
| 417d | Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31? | BuyNo78¢ | $100 |
| 419d | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1? | BuyYes45¢ | $100 |
| 419d | Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31? | BuyNo51¢ | $90 |
| 419d | Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31? | BuyNo29¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.