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Polymarket wallet 0x4c9b8a4f1fcfedcdd39a775994cc177530ea7aac · on Polymarket since Oct 2, 2025 · also shown as Scratchy-Kingfish
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 12, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 369d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BuyUp61¢ | $1 |
| 370d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BuyDown55¢ | $1 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $1 |
| 373d | Tulsa vs. East Carolina | BuyEast Carolina87¢ | $1 |
| 373d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BuyUp68¢ | $2 |
| 373d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 374d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BuyDown20¢ | $1 |
| 376d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp97¢ | $5 |
| 376d | XRP Up or Down - October 12, 3PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 376d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 386d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3 |
| 386d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3PM ET | BuyDown8¢ | $1 |
| 386d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp20¢ | $1 |
| 386d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET | BuyUp69¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.