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Polymarket wallet 0x4ca46fedb1189224cd81724805380ef3e836a17d · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2025 · also shown as Spry-Permafrost
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,417 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$709 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,633 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$817 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,413 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,207 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,146 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$573 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,248 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$624 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 349d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $8 |
| 350d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $573 |
| 350d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $709 |
| 350d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $624 |
| 350d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,207 |
| 350d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $817 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.