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Polymarket wallet 0x4ca5c8474690d2203acae6d216730117071ce844 · on Polymarket since Dec 2, 2025 · also shown as International-Cathedral
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 210 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 188 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 206 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - December 9, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 206 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 193 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$97 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 142d | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | BuyNo98¢ | $38 |
| 318d | XRP Up or Down - December 9, 3AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $103 |
| 318d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 12AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $97 |
| 319d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $4 |
| 319d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $100 |
| 319d | XRP Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $6 |
| 319d | XRP Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $101 |
| 319d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 12AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $105 |
| 323d | XRP Up or Down - December 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $94 |
| 323d | Solana Up or Down - December 4, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $6 |
| 323d | Solana Up or Down - December 4, 10AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $91 |
| 323d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 9AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $95 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.