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Polymarket wallet 0x4ca84df3c4c02c6f08142c4e795dbc1bc0959573 · on Polymarket since Sep 24, 2025 · also shown as Obvious-Menorah
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 220 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,010 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$505 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 394d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $219 |
| 394d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $135 |
| 394d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $110 |
| 394d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $50 |
| 394d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $505 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.