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Polymarket wallet 0x4cc5b98fdd678e7beda9994433856568ac2ee19a · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026 · also shown as Concrete-Chopstick
1242
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,842 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,355 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 766 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$643 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 404 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$295 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,550 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,168 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 928 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$705 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,026 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,438 −100% |
| Iran strike on US military by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,323 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,094 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 35 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.