bangzhu

Polymarket wallet 0x4ce856eac7cb6b066e507fc868e0a4c46b91d187 · on Polymarket since Mar 16, 2026 · also shown as Live-Patriarch

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $18.9
All-time profit: −$2.98K
Volume traded: $95.2K
All-time rank: #3,155,363
Markets traded: 274
Recent hit rate: 94%47 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $18.9

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem	No	13	79¢ → 100¢	$13	+$3 +27%
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	5	97¢ → 100¢	$5	+$0 +2.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 70d	Yes	20	25¢ → 6¢	$1	−$4 −78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	59	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	164	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	190	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	19	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	253	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	120	83¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	43	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	829	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$84 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	261	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	208	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$110 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	176	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	291	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	73	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	335	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	980	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$800 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	183	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	159	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	204	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	16	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	202	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	504	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	289	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$102 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	45	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	399	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	212	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	384	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	165	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	153	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	212	94¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	510	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	364	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	435	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	792	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	155	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	186	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	12	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	138	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	147	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	66	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	56	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	251	40¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	269	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	623	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	207	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	221	91¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	167	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	72	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	340	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$130 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	124	80¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	159	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	431	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	199	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	21	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	164	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	158	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	179	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	636	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	266	53¢ → 0¢	$0	−$140 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	348	86¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	310	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	233	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	93	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	385	78¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	244	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	186	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	16	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	108	46¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	247	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	238	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	135	74¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	289	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$79 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	130	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	169	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	185	54¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	81	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	327	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	180	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	166	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	363	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	673	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	365	82¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	147	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	185	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$110 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	528	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$310 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	129	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	389	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$110 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	62	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	164	61¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	390	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	200	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	396	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$300 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	139	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	131	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,459	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
204d	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BuyYes97¢	$5
204d	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BuyYes25¢	$5
204d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	SellUp99¢	$22
204d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	BuyUp88¢	$20
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	BuyUp27¢	$110
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	BuyUp59¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	BuyDown88¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	BuyDown74¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	BuyUp88¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	BuyDown91¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	BuyDown84¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BuyDown63¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	BuyDown76¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	BuyDown38¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	SellUp99¢	$346
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	BuyUp75¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	SellUp99¢	$155
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	BuyUp44¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	BuyUp62¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	BuyUp3¢	$10
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	SellUp99¢	$171
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	BuyUp56¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	BuyUp32¢	$20
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	BuyDown95¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	BuyUp4¢	$10
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	BuyUp54¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	BuyDown36¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BuyDown35¢	$10
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	BuyDown78¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	SellDown>99¢	$812
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown76¢	$412
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown74¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown67¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	BuyDown45¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	BuyDown70¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	BuyDown26¢	$20
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	BuyDown87¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp14¢	$30
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	SellUp18¢	$48
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	BuyUp37¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	SellDown49¢	$93
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	BuyDown52¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	BuyUp81¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	BuyDown56¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	BuyDown35¢	$20
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	SellDown99¢	$1,009
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	BuyDown97¢	$991
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	BuyUp59¢	$200
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	BuyUp69¢	$200
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	BuyDown17¢	$10
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	BuyDown65¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	SellDown99¢	$47
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	BuyDown21¢	$10
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	SellDown>99¢	$181
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	SellUp>99¢	$166
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	BuyDown54¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	SellDown99¢	$177
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	BuyUp59¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	BuyDown55¢	$100
205d	Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	BuyUp59¢	$100

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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