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Polymarket wallet 0x4cebeb041568e58b1f5c2e4c2681a1c9e4aaafc3 · on Polymarket since Feb 15, 2026 · also shown as Thirsty-Fertilizer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 240 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $120 |
| 235d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $60 |
| 249d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $5,980 |
| 250d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 2AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $3,005 |
| 250d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 3PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,510 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.