challenger1

Polymarket wallet 0x4d1531e0575c25f990c940c6c8c49222f8c1684b · on Polymarket since Aug 28, 2025 · also shown as Real-Seaplane

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$3.59K
Volume traded: $97.7K
All-time rank: #3,168,719
Markets traded: 29
Recent hit rate: 90%19 of last 21 closed

Open positions

9 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,558	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,273	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,000 −100%
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,135	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,100 −100%
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston CougarsSettled - ready to redeem	Houston Cougars	1,500	57¢ → 0¢	$0	−$855 −100%
Senators vs. CapitalsSettled - ready to redeem	Senators	909	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem	Hooker	4,660	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,165 −100%
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	500	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,205	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi CapitalsSettled - ready to redeem	Delhi Capitals	14,180	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6,772 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
51d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	SellYes14¢	$661
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$1,060
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$11
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$2
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$1
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$4
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$2
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$2
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$37
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$1
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$1
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$1
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$96
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$1
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$2
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$1
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$2
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$2
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$2
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$1
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$76
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$6
93d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyYes38¢	$558
152d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	SellNo97¢	$2,165
169d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	BuyNo73¢	$1,631
186d	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals	BuyDelhi Capitals47¢	$6,772
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$579
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$85
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$21
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$9
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$15
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$154
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$2
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$30
209d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIllinois Fighting Illini75¢	$592
211d	Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	BuyIowa Hawkeyes46¢	$920
211d	Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars	BuyHouston Cougars57¢	$855
211d	Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats	BuyArizona Wildcats77¢	$387
211d	Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats	BuyArizona Wildcats77¢	$768
215d	St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	BuySt. Johns Red Storm61¢	$51
215d	St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	BuySt. Johns Red Storm61¢	$18
215d	St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	BuySt. Johns Red Storm61¢	$23
215d	St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	BuySt. Johns Red Storm61¢	$518
215d	St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	BuyKansas Jayhawks38¢	$380
215d	Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	BuyPurdue Boilermakers75¢	$1,500
216d	Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars	BuyHouston Cougars82¢	$2,050
216d	Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans	BuyMichigan State Spartans66¢	$1,320
220d	Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5	BuyOver50¢	$500
220d	Senators vs. Capitals	BuySenators55¢	$500
220d	Devils vs. Rangers	BuyDevils52¢	$500
255d	Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BuyYes74¢	$3,859

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 21 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.