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Polymarket wallet 0x4d38d9bd62e9dca5f54ae9ebd5f55163576421cc · on Polymarket since Feb 12, 2026 · also shown as Direct-Bathtub
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 90 | 6¢ → 100¢ | $90 | +$85 +1567% |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 34¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$4 +194% |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$2 +69% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 253d | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 12? | BuyDown34¢ | $2 |
| 253d | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 12? | BuyDown59¢ | $3 |
| 253d | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 12? | BuyDown50¢ | $3 |
| 253d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12? | BuyUp76¢ | $4 |
| 253d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12? | BuyDown6¢ | $2 |
| 253d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12? | BuyDown6¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.