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Polymarket wallet 0x4ddfdd4ed0654d7c9dd4cb1804fcbefc101d80af · on Polymarket since Sep 30, 2026 · also shown as Severe-Labourer-Cappelletti
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3,634 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $24 | −$6 −21% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 7 | 46¢ → 62¢ | $4 | +$1 +34% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 6 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$1 −53% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 6 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$0 −36% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −50% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −50% |
| Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | fnatic | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.