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Polymarket wallet 0x4e4a84298e74b6a0346b1c27027add5e14545d98 · on Polymarket since Feb 1, 2026 · also shown as Ruddy-Warfare
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,236 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$618 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $6 |
| 160d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6 |
| 262d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $618 |
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $311 |
| 264d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $156 |
| 264d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 3AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $79 |
| 265d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $1,288 |
| 265d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $2,589 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.