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Polymarket wallet 0x4ede61602f993b313bd819475d865a713e82dd0b · on Polymarket since Dec 5, 2025 · also shown as Unlucky-Stance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - March 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.