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Polymarket wallet 0x4f905c86bca828e8cdd06a2a2aff287cf4874c99 · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026 · also shown as Grumpy-Initial

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$44.8
Volume traded: $11.2K
All-time rank: #2,384,188
Markets traded: 21
Recent hit rate: 57%12 of last 21 closed

Open positions

1 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jiangsu DragonsSettled - ready to redeem	Beijing Royal Fighters	95	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$56 −100%

Latest trades

last 58

When	Market	Bet	Size
87d	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SellNo93¢	$64
199d	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyNo95¢	$13
199d	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyNo95¢	$22
199d	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BuyNo95¢	$31
223d	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BuyNo89¢	$0
224d	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BuyNo89¢	$58
224d	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	SellNo7¢	$47
224d	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	SellNo7¢	$2
225d	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	BuyNo7¢	$49
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	SellYes12¢	$70
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	SellYes12¢	$12
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	SellYes12¢	$1
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BuyYes11¢	$81
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	SellNo86¢	$21
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	SellNo86¢	$159
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	SellNo86¢	$66
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	SellNo86¢	$386
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BuyNo86¢	$632
225d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?	SellNo95¢	$667
226d	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?	BuyNo94¢	$659
226d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SellNo>99¢	$701
226d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BuyNo>99¢	$702
226d	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SellNo96¢	$62
235d	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BuyNo96¢	$62
237d	US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$62
238d	US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$59
239d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	SellYes6¢	$14
241d	US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$44
242d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	BuyYes8¢	$18
243d	US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SellYes17¢	$37
243d	US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BuyYes18¢	$40
243d	US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	SellNo96¢	$182
243d	US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	SellNo96¢	$29
243d	US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BuyNo96¢	$212
243d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?	SellYes>99¢	$255
243d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?	BuyYes>99¢	$255
259d	US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?	SellNo>99¢	$54
259d	US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?	BuyNo100¢	$54
272d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	BuyNo99¢	$43
277d	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?	BuyNo>99¢	$23
277d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 19?	BuyYes99¢	$20
277d	Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$9
281d	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jiangsu Dragons	BuyBeijing Royal Fighters59¢	$12
281d	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jiangsu Dragons	BuyBeijing Royal Fighters59¢	$15
281d	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jiangsu Dragons	BuyBeijing Royal Fighters59¢	$12
281d	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jiangsu Dragons	BuyBeijing Royal Fighters59¢	$18
286d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 5-11?	BuyNo>99¢	$56
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$15
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$10
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$95
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$95
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$10
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$228
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$20
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$40
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$88
287d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SellNo95¢	$29
288d	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$629

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 21 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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