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Polymarket wallet 0x4fcd6e9aac55a611115e547a91b399aff29c208e · on Polymarket since Jul 8, 2025 · also shown as Cautious-Smolt
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 58¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +72% |
| Blackhawks vs. Maple LeafsSettled - ready to redeem | Maple Leafs | 2 | 65¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +54% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +37% |
| Will Solana dip to $140 in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk say "xAI" 2 or more times during the August 6 AMA?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 312d | Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs | BuyMaple Leafs65¢ | $1 |
| 408d | Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 424d | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | BuyYes73¢ | $1 |
| 430d | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes58¢ | $1 |
| 436d | Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | BuyYes68¢ | $1 |
| 443d | Will Elon Musk say "xAI" 2 or more times during the August 6 AMA? | BuyYes91¢ | $1 |
| 452d | Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election? | BuyYes61¢ | $1 |
| 459d | Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? | BuyYes87¢ | $1 |
| 466d | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15? | BuyYes72¢ | $1 |
| 472d | Will Solana dip to $140 in July? | BuyYes64¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.