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Polymarket wallet 0x502d3fa8c11821c33c56a1c179878d6358da9cd5 · on Polymarket since Apr 22, 2025 · also shown as Steel-Connection
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 36 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$4 −84% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 46¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$4 −87% |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 170 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 56 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 47 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.