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Polymarket wallet 0x508df11ef1d6f560e2d5978b504f84c839978772 · on Polymarket since Feb 21, 2026 · also shown as Nervous-Grey
An estimator is a function of observed data used to infer the value of an unknown population parameter.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 92 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $92 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $35 | +$5 +16% |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $18 | +$3 +19% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 42 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.