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Polymarket wallet 0x508f30482e18af3262f0fb199bf5a75556e9502d · on Polymarket since Jan 18, 2026 · also shown as Traumatic-Octavo
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 311 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,321 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,200 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.