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Polymarket wallet 0x50af62b1c8e626fce939ff8080b57afc161b3ae9 · on Polymarket since Oct 29, 2025 · also shown as Orange-Earthworm
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,223 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,250 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 359d | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 359d | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $14 |
| 359d | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 359d | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 359d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 359d | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $75 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.