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Polymarket wallet 0x532fd4133e9a517924b9a142d5d0aee4496edb6a · on Polymarket since Jan 28, 2026 · also shown as Joyful-Object
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,517 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 222 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,667 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 331 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,429 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,552 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 261d | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $16 |
| 261d | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 262d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BuyDown8¢ | $10 |
| 262d | Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $2 |
| 262d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $3 |
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BuyUp15¢ | $30 |
| 264d | US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 267d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $140 |
| 268d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $110 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.