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Polymarket wallet 0x535140ea9d46e43693cd147b4f51fe55bb0417e5 · on Polymarket since Mar 29, 2026 · also shown as Serious-Thought
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 928 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 21 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 58 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 950 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 73 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BuyUp8¢ | $5 |
| 206d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 1? | BuyNo52¢ | $10 |
| 206d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BuyUp29¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BuyYes67¢ | $20 |
| 206d | Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 1? | BuyYes47¢ | $5 |
| 206d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 206d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp25¢ | $5 |
| 206d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BuyDown26¢ | $4 |
| 206d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BuyUp22¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.