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Polymarket wallet 0x53bcd65cc0e271aac4502faf89d787c3fae452e4 · on Polymarket since Dec 24, 2025 · also shown as Phony-Ereader
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$11 +133% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$72 −100% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.