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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 55 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$5 −79% |
| Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108,845 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$611 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.