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Polymarket wallet 0x583f7218654183a1f318690536fa8a8f9897d8c1 · on Polymarket since Oct 18, 2021 · also shown as Dear-Country
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 303d | Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass? | SellNo99¢ | $36 |
| 307d | Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass? | BuyNo41¢ | $15 |
| 895d | Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2024? | BuyYes>99¢ | $31 |
| 924d | GPT-5 not announced in 2024? | BuyNo72¢ | $20 |
| 924d | GPT-5 not announced in 2024? | BuyNo72¢ | $10 |
| 924d | GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024? | BuyYes20¢ | $10 |
| 924d | GPT-5 announced in Q3 2024? | BuyYes37¢ | $10 |
| 924d | GPT-5 announced in Q2 2024? | BuyYes17¢ | $10 |
| 1018d | SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 9? | SellNo96¢ | $21 |
| 1018d | SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 9? | BuyNo92¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 32 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.