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Polymarket wallet 0x592111469d7fda247f364e3a68db15278ae68d8e · on Polymarket since May 1, 2024 · also shown as Scarce-Warden
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| $PENGU market cap (FDV) $2-4b one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| $PENGU market cap (FDV) $1-2b one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.