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Polymarket wallet 0x5a53be5c94cbbaef0175c0361358f51065643fc4 · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2025 · also shown as Fumbling-Administration
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $37 | +$12 +49% |
| BNB all time high by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $25 | +$10 +64% |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 72¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$2 +39% |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellNo93¢ | $1,192 |
| 268d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellNo76¢ | $4,447 |
| 277d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo70¢ | $1,000 |
| 277d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo70¢ | $3,000 |
| 277d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ | $1,000 |
| 277d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo70¢ | $100 |
| 355d | BNB all time high by December 31? | BuyNo61¢ | $15 |
| 355d | Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31? | BuyYes67¢ | $25 |
| 355d | Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026? | BuyNo49¢ | $20 |
| 355d | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BuyNo72¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.