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Polymarket wallet 0x5bf7ebf15fd84a5a31b20e29738b6b040d08ff61 · on Polymarket since Feb 4, 2026 · also shown as Limp-Ladle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?Ends in 189d | Yes | 101 | 82¢ → 44¢ | $44 | −$39 −47% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxSettled - ready to redeem | Tampa Bay Rays | 36 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BuyNo27¢ | $3 |
| 126d | Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Buy13¢ | $21 |
| 135d | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | BuyTampa Bay Rays56¢ | $20 |
| 155d | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SellNo14¢ | $9 |
| 155d | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BuyNo15¢ | $10 |
| 175d | Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31? | BuyNo31¢ | $5 |
| 175d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BuyYes6¢ | $5 |
| 175d | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $5 |
| 175d | Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? | BuyYes82¢ | $84 |
| 190d | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | BuyYes22¢ | $32 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.