mantyra

Polymarket wallet 0x5c042f1a28174d37796107a0c3a5dc2ba75b6f12 · on Polymarket since Oct 25, 2025 · also shown as Happy-Go-Lucky-Anarchist

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $18.6
All-time profit: +$615
Volume traded: $15.4K
All-time rank: #104,548
Markets traded: 16
Recent hit rate: 76%13 of last 17 closed

Open positions

3 markets · $18.6

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d	No	20	84¢ → 93¢	$19	+$2 +11%
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Settled - ready to redeem	No	93	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2	58¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%

Latest trades

last 35

When	Market	Bet	Size
21d	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo84¢	$17
47d	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	BuyYes32¢	$13
77d	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	BuyYes88¢	$52
135d	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	BuyNo97¢	$29
148d	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	BuyNo92¢	$147
204d	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SellNo74¢	$1,661
228d	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyNo73¢	$265
228d	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyNo73¢	$21
228d	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyNo73¢	$385
228d	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BuyNo73¢	$968
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$3
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$431
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$21
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$627
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$9
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$0
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$0
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$10
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$2
256d	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BuyNo68¢	$17
276d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SellNo>99¢	$1,216
291d	Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BuyNo99¢	$1,210
309d	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,205
309d	Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	SellNo100¢	$1,199
322d	Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,200
330d	Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	BuyYes58¢	$1
339d	House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?	BuyNo1¢	$9
339d	House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?	BuyYes99¢	$1,100
339d	Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November?	BuyYes>99¢	$100
339d	Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November?	BuyNo1¢	$1
354d	Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	BuyNo14¢	$13
354d	Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	BuyYes87¢	$180
354d	Cardinals vs. Cowboys	BuyCardinals39¢	$1
363d	US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?	BuyYes5¢	$5
363d	US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?	BuyNo97¢	$190

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 17 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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