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Polymarket wallet 0x600711e2f02a9484106160b7a05d292958c01788 · on Polymarket since May 16, 2026 · also shown as Immaterial-Gnu
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 160 | 16¢ → 19¢ | $30 | +$5 +19% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 125 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $10 | −$15 −60% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 167 | 15¢ → 6¢ | $9 | −$16 −62% |
| Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 581 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126d | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SellNo88¢ | $102 |
| 133d | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? | BuyYes42¢ | $102 |
| 133d | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | BuyYes16¢ | $26 |
| 133d | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BuyYes20¢ | $26 |
| 133d | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BuyYes15¢ | $26 |
| 135d | Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200? | BuyYes62¢ | $203 |
| 158d | Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 159d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BuyYes72¢ | $51 |
| 159d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BuyYes93¢ | $100 |
| 160d | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BuyNo86¢ | $101 |
| 160d | Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | BuyYes24¢ | $103 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.