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Polymarket wallet 0x651ffe8b6ef3f43adeaa7c8fabf81406ef70ed6e · on Polymarket since Dec 1, 2025 · also shown as Tough-Shanty
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 6PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 190 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 173 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$87 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 209 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 208 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$104 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 203 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 323d | XRP Up or Down - December 3, 7PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $83 |
| 323d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 5PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $87 |
| 323d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $102 |
| 323d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $4 |
| 323d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $101 |
| 323d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $95 |
| 324d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $105 |
| 324d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $7 |
| 324d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 6PM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $89 |
| 324d | Solana Up or Down - December 2, 3PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $89 |
| 324d | Solana Up or Down - December 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $103 |
| 324d | Ethereum Up or Down - December 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $104 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.